THE HANDIMAN'S GUIDE TO SOLAR/GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS from Paul Harden, NA5N GEOMAGNETIC INDICES AND CONDITIONS =============================================================== | Kp | Ap | GEOMAGNETIC | HF | | |Index= | Index= | FIELD CONDITIONS | NOISE | AURORA | |------ |-----------|------------------|----------|-----------| | 0 | 0 - 2 | Very Quiet | S1-S2 | None | | 1 | 3 - 5 | Quiet | S1-S2 | Very Low | | 2 | 6 - 9 | Quiet | S1-S2 | Very Low | | 3 | 12 - 18 | Unsettled | S2-S3 | Low | | 4 | 22 - 32 | Active | S3-S4 | Moderate | |.......|...........|..................|..........|...........| | 5 | 39 - 56 | MINOR Storm | S4-S6 | High | | 6 | 67 - 94 | MAJOR Storm | S6-S9 | Very High | | 7 | 111 -154 | SEVERE Storm | S9+ | Very High | | 8 | 179 -236 | SEVERE Storm | Blackout | Extreme | | 9 | 300 -400 | EXTREMELY SEVERE | Blackout | Extreme | =============================================================== Kp= Planetary K-index, averaged over past 3 hours and tends to be a measure of current conditions Ap= Planetary A-index, 24-hour average and represents overall geomagnetic field conditions for the UTC day HF Noise= approximate "S-meter" noise level <10 MHz. Aurora - Approximate level of auroral activity High conditions usually extends to: Latitude 45 deg. Very High conditions extends to about: Latitude 35 deg. Extreme conditions can extend to below: Latitude 35 deg. SOLAR WIND averages 350-450 km/sec and density <10 p/cm^3 >500 km/sec or high density can trigger geomagnetic activity SHOCK WAVE from a solar flare or Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) arrives at the Earth about 55 hours after the solar event. SOLAR FLARE CLASSIFICATIONS =============================================================== | FLARE | TYPE OF | HF RADIO | RESULTING | | CLASS | FLARE | EFFECTS | GEOMAGNETIC STORM | |---------|------------|------------------|-------------------| | A | Very small | None | None | | B | Small | None | None | | C | Moderate | *Low absorption | *Active to Minor | | M | Large | *High absorption | *Minor to Major | | X | Extreme | *Poss. blackout | *Major to Severe | =============================================================== *Conditions cited if Earth is in trajectory of flare emissions Flare class further rated from 1-9, ex. M1, M2, M3 ... M9 The larger the number, the larger the flare within that class An X7-X9 is considered a "Grand daddy" flare. Only a few have occured over the past 30 years and causes total dispruptions to communications, huge aurora's, power grid failures, etc. Radio and x-ray emissions from a flare effect the Earth for the duration of the solar event, usually 30 minutes or less. The Earth is 8 light minutes from the Sun. SUNSPOT/ACTIVE REGION CLASSIFICATIONS =============================================================== | SUNSPOT| DESCRIPTION OF | POTENTIAL FOR | | CLASS | THE ACTIVE REGION | FLARE ACTIVITY | |--------|-------------------------|--------------------------| | Alpha | Unorganized, unipolar | Little threat, but | | | magnetic fields | watched for growth | | Beta | Bipolar magnetic fields | C class flares and | | | between sun spots | possible large M class | | Delta | Strong, compact bipolar | High potential for a M | | | fields between spots | or X class major flare | | | | Major Flare Alert issued | ===============================================================